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The Flu Scare Game
John Keller
October 9, 2004
I always know when it's flu season. First, the media begins its usual role as hysterical
government press secretary, uncritically trumpeting the same cooked numbers about
the coming flu epidemic. The steady drone of recent broadcasts, including one on
NBC's Today Show (10/6/04), warn that the flu kills about 36,000 people every year
in the United States. The broadcasts usually cite the CDC as the source of this huge
number. This is borne out by the main CDC page, with its immediate link to flu information and statistics. It's a crock, a lie, and a sham; a conspiracy to generate fear and stampede
people to use a vaccine of questionable effectiveness to the benefit of pro-immunization
bureaucrats, and big pharma. Sounds harsh, but follow the math and the money.
A cursory glance at the most recent (2001) death statistics from theData Highlights page posted on the CDC site, shows
that Influenza and Pneumonia (International Cause of Death numbers J10 and J18) killed
62,034 people. Quick mental subtraction would tell you that just over half were killed
by the flu, versus pneumonia, if the 36,000 number is correct. So far, the size of
the flu epidemic seems plausible. Here's the link to the National Vital Statistics System page within the
CDC site that has the Data Highlights and Full Reports.
This is important, because the Data Highlights page is just that, a single page highlight
of all the various mortality stats gathered by the CDC. Now, let's dig into the more
detailed reports. The"Deaths: Final Data for 2001" report
is an 8MB PDF. Skip it unless you want all the charts detailing deaths by race, age,
and ethnicity. The 2002 preliminary report contains the interesting parts of the
2001 final report, as well as data from 2002. The second search result for J10 (the
mortality code for flu) brings us to page 16 of 48, which contains the breakout of
flu and pneumonia. Total flu deaths for 2002: 753. Pneumonia accounted for the other
65,231 deaths. Scrolling to the right are the numbers for 2001. Again, total flu
deaths were under one thousand, coming in at 257. That's right, less than a thousand
people died of the flu in 2001 and 2002, according to the CDC's own numbers.
Searching around on the CDC website reveals several more pages that call into question the
36,000 deaths per year number. For example, this page dedicated to the 2003-04 season
states that "152 influenza-associated deaths among children" occurred during
the 2003-04 flu season, but carefully avoids answering its own question about the
total number of dead in the 2003-2004 season. Instead, it goes on in serious sounding
quasi-scientific statistico blather: "During the 2003-04 season, the percentage
of P & I-associated deaths was higher than the epidemic threshold for 9 consecutive
weeks." Again, lumping pneumonia and flu deaths together, even though the CDC does not recognize the flu
as one of the many causes of pneumonia.
Finally, the CDC's own "Flu Pandemics" page puts deaths in
the United States from the Spanish Flu Pandemic of 1918-1919 at 500,000, Asian Flu
pandemic of 1957-58 at 70,000, and the Hong Kong Flu pandemic of 1968-69 at 34,000.
These are the three 20th century pandemics, and two of them killed close to what
the CDC is now calling average. What's going on here?
How is it that the CDC could be off by two orders of magnitude between their own
official mortality stats, and the press kit number of 36,000 deaths per year. Could
it be that the CDC is somehow misleading the public about the relative dangers of
the flu?
Here is a link to the CDC-AMA sponsored National Influenza Vaccination Summit for 2004.
This is an invitation only conference hosted by the CDC and the American Medical
Association. Luckily for the public, the speaker list, agenda, and presentations
are posted online. The attendees list of this CDC-AMA sponsored event reads like
a lobbying group for flu immunization. Of the 97 attendees, vaccine manufacturers
CHIRON (10), Aventis-Pasteur (10), Medimmune (5), and Baxter Vaccines (4) were a
full 29 strong. Medical Conglomerates Kaiser Permanente (6) and McKesson (3) rounded
out the big corporate influence cabal. The CDC sent 39 attendees and the AMA (proper,
not members) had 4. The remainder of the attendees were a mix of state and local
health departments (e.g. Rhode Island Medical Society), smaller pharma companies
(e.g. Solvay Pharmaceuticals), and pro-immunization organizations (e.g. Sabin Vaccine
Institute).
And did these learned scholars of immunology, virology, and general public health
debate the merits of vaccinating against a virus that kills less than 1,000 people
in most years? Perhaps they were celebrating the fact that only a few hundred died
from the flu, thanks to their vaccines? Not exactly. The manufacture, distribution,
and administration of flu vaccine is a cash cow, worth several hundred million dollars
a year.
Here's a quote from CHIRON CORP's 2003 Annual Report: "Sales
of our flu vaccines were $332.4 million, $90.0 million and $74.7 million in 2003,
2002 and 2001, respectively." Those numbers represent just the manufacture of
flu vaccine, from one company, not including any of the profits from the distribution,
or administration of the vaccine.
Buried in the speakers presentations from the conference are some interesting stats.
It turns out that 147 children under 18 died of the flu in the 2003–04 season. Of
those, 101 reported whether or not the child received the flu vaccine. Of those,
22 had received at least one flu shot, and 4 had received multiple flu shots. That
puts the percentage of immunized children that died at just under 22% of all children
(page 10 of 23, Cochi Presentation.) Further in the report we
learn that the CDC's own studies show they believe the flu vaccine to be only 16%-63%
effective against the flu, while a French report shows 61% effectiveness against
influenza-like-illness (without confirming that it's actually the flu). According
to a Harvard study, (Nowak presentation, page 26),
only 22% of parents of children 6–23 months had them immunized, and only 30% of children
under 18 were immunized. Now, I'm noDr. John Lott when it comes to statistics, but
if the ratio of immunized to non-immunized children in the total population (22%–30%)
is nearly identical to the immunized to non-immunized ratio of children in an admittedly
small sample of children that died (22%), the case could be made that the flu vaccine
is largely worthless.
In other words, the best case these needle-happy pro-flu vaccinators can mount shows
that their immunization program would work, maybe, just over half the time, but some
simple number crunching of our own shows that its probably much less than that. The
coup de grace' comes from one of the CDC's own, Glen Nowak, PhD., in a presentation
titled Planning for the 2004-5 Vaccination Season: A
Communication Situation Analysis" the good doctor lays out a media manipulation campaign that would make Goebbels
proud. Pages 27 on detail a literal "7 Step Recipe" that the CDC will use,
in conjunction with the virus makers, to "(Frame)... the flu season in terms
that motivate behavior (e.g., as very severe, more severe than last or past years,
deadly)".
To summarize thus far:
• The flu kills fewer than 1,000 people on average, not 36,000
• Flu Vaccine is of highly dubious effectiveness
• The CDC and Vaccine Manufacturers are in closed door sessions with the primary
stated purpose of boosting vaccination numbers by spreading fear
At this point, some may think, "Hey, it might be worth getting, just as a preventative
measure. Sort of like throwing a little salt over your shoulder, what can it hurt?"
Plenty. The good Dr. Donald Miller, cardiac surgeon and Professor of Surgery at the
University of Washington in Seattle, recently did<http://www.lewrockwell.com/miller/miller14.html>an
article about the dangers of mercury in vaccines and amalgam fillings. The CDC has
a position on Thimerosal (methyl mercury based preservative) in flu vaccines posted to
its website. Without admitting that Thimerosal might be
responsible for the epidemics of autism, alzheimers, and ADD in this country, the
CDC gives us a sop about taking it out or removing it. Reading the fine print, however,
tells us: "the majority of influenza vaccines distributed in the United States
currently contain Thimerosal as a preservative." Furthermore, in a bit of regulatory
trickery, the FDA is letting smaller amounts go undisclosed : "..some contain
only trace amounts of Thimerosal and are considered by the Food and Drug Administration
(FDA) to be preservative-free." In other words, even if you ask to see the vaccine
label, check for Thimerosal, and get a warm fuzzy feeling about the shot being labeled
"Thimerosal free," thanks to the FDA's accommodation of drug manufacturers,
it could still contain mercury.
When the major manufacturers of flu vaccine get together with the CDC in a closed
door summit with the sole purpose of figuring out how to stick 185 million doses
of a questionable vaccine into a population in which less than 1,000 people a year
die, what should we call it? Yes, Virginia, it is a conspiracy. Luckily the conspirators
are foolish enough to believe that their website is safely hidden amidst all the
chaff of the Internet, or else, are so brazen in their contempt for the general population
that they think we can't do a little math and conclude "The vaccine doesn't
work, and the flu is a flim-flam!"
Eventually, there will be another pandemic of the flu, and thousands will die. The
CDC should concentrate on finding ways to lower the spread, working alternatives
to vaccines, and ways to minimizing the severity of the flu, rather than pumping
out fake numbers, creating an aura of fear and hysteria, and shilling for profits
to huge pharma companies.
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